Causes of Conflict and Power Centralization

Many analysts believe Ethiopia’s prolonged conflicts largely stem from the excessive centralization of power by a dominant group from Showa, which has traditionally defined the state based on its narrow perspective. This left many groups marginalized, leading to frustrations that spurred resistance. However, many believe that ethnicity became a visible issue only due to this marginalization, making ethnicity a consequence of centralization rather than the root cause. As Markakis observed, ethnic identity gains political expression only in specific conditions, where access to state power is closely tied to economic and social benefits. When certain groups are excluded, this denial of power leads to social deprivation, which often turns the state into the main battleground for power struggles.

Ethnicity as a Tool for Political Power

Scholars like Clapham and Abbink argue that, rather than being purely ethnic, most conflicts in Ethiopia are political at their core, with ethnicity sometimes used as a tool for groups seeking access to power and resources. Ethiopia’s conflicts, therefore, are better understood through a political lens, focusing on the concentration of power by an elite group that has monopolized the state and its resources. This form of domination marginalized many groups, creating an “ethnocratic” state where one ethnicity, or a narrow set of elites, held control.

Historical Centralization and Its Consequences

The centralization of power in Ethiopia, often seen as “nation-building,” had profound consequences. Historically autonomous regions—particularly in the South, Southwest, and East—were absorbed into a centralized state, leading to imposed cultural, political, and economic values on these regions. However, as the state failed to embrace this diversity, a “nationalities question” arose, reflecting discontent with centralized rule and exclusion of regional identities. In earlier times, conflict was often about asserting local autonomy, but by the 1960s, calls for change began demanding state reform and even autonomy.

Identity and the Struggle for a Multicultural State

In the 1960s, Ethiopia’s Student Movement introduced the idea that Ethiopia was a “prison of nationalities,” calling for equal treatment of all ethnic groups. They argued that Amhara culture and language were imposed as “Ethiopian” identity, marginalizing other groups. This perspective inspired groups to advocate for self-determination, challenging the nation’s rigid “one Ethiopia” identity. While political parties shared this vision of equal representation, they split over whether ethnic or class-based struggles were the solution.

The Modern Federal System: Balancing Unity and Diversity

Ethiopia’s shift to a federal system aimed to balance the unity of the state with the autonomy of various ethnic groups. This system acknowledges Ethiopia’s diverse identities, allowing for regional self-rule while maintaining national unity. By integrating ethnic representation within a federal structure, Ethiopia seeks to avoid past centralization failures and build a more inclusive nation.

Regional Perspectives and Evolving Identities

  1. Southern Ethiopia: With over 56 ethnic groups, the Southern region of Ethiopia has historically felt marginalized. Today, many Southern leaders advocate for “unity in diversity” within Ethiopia, supporting federalism to protect their identities and resources.

  2. Afar Region: The Afar people, who reside in Ethiopia, Eritrea, and Djibouti, have long sought autonomy due to historic marginalization. Although the Ethiopian government now provides some degree of regional autonomy, the Afar’s strategic location along the coast and their cultural ties to neighboring countries make their situation complex.

  3. Somali Region: Ethiopian Somalis, with historical and cultural ties to Somalia, have experienced tension with the Ethiopian state. This situation worsened in the 1970s when Somalia aimed to unite Somali regions across the Horn of Africa. While today some Somali groups advocate for regional autonomy within Ethiopia, others continue to push for independence.

Nation-Building in Multi-Ethnic States: The Role of Federalism

The concept of “nation-building” becomes complex in multi-ethnic societies where Western ideas of a dominant national culture are often unsuitable. Countries like Ethiopia and Sudan have attempted to unify diverse groups under a single cultural and religious identity, but this approach frequently leads to conflict. Instead, federalism, which respects multiple identities and provides for autonomous governance at the regional level, appears to be a more viable solution. By embracing diversity and allowing regional governance, federalism helps multicultural states like Ethiopia maintain unity without erasing cultural differences.

Conclusion: Toward an Inclusive Ethiopian State

Ethiopia’s long-term stability depends on its ability to balance unity with diversity. While federalism alone cannot address every challenge, it offers a framework for integrating diverse groups into the political process, sharing power, and fostering national cohesion. Ethiopia’s history of centralization has shown that concentration of power at the center leads to conflict. Embracing federalism as a means to accommodate ethnic identities while also ensuring equitable resource distribution may offer Ethiopia the best chance at enduring peace and unity.

This approach shows that Ethiopia’s conflicts are not solely about ethnic identity but also about economic and political disenfranchisement. By combining ethnic representation with shared political and economic power, Ethiopia’s multicultural federalism aims to avoid past divisions and create a more inclusive and resilient state.